The market moved

-1.0ppin 24h · now 39¢

Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5

Sports · resolves May 20 · vol $1.1K

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 39¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on mlb.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: MLB.com.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 0.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.