The market moved
-4.0ppin 24h · now 51¢
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5
Sports · resolves May 26 · vol $31.43
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 51¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on nba.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: NBA.com.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 14.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.