The market moved
+2.5ppin 24h · now 42¢
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
Politics · resolves Nov 7 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 42¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://elections.nz/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.