The market moved
-27.5ppin 24h · now 17¢
Will Alien arrests in New York hit 4900+ by June 30?
Other · resolves Jun 30 · vol $1.9K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 17¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 27.5pp shift. Resolution depends on whitehouse.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: whitehouse.gov — https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.