The market moved
-10.5ppin 24h · now 8¢
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $3.75B and $4.25B at market close on IPO day?
Business · resolves Jun 3 · vol $405.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 8¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 10.5pp shift. Resolution depends on sec filing — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: SEC filing.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.