The market moved

-16.5ppin 24h · now 22¢

Will Bernie say "TSA" in Maine?

Other · resolves May 24 · vol $10.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 22¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 16.5pp shift. Resolution depends on berniesanders.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: berniesanders.com — https://berniesanders.com/oligarchy/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 41.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.