The market moved

-6.0ppin 24h · now 20¢

Will Claude Code Commits be between 500.0k and 550.0k on June 30?

AI · resolves Jun 30 · vol $27.00

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 20¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the 7-day average commits (7d avg commits) figure for the final date of the specified month — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.