The market moved

-11.0ppin 24h · now 35¢

Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?

Business · resolves May 29 · vol $460.15

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 35¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 11.0pp shift. Resolution depends on sec filing — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: SEC filing.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 18.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.