The market moved

-21.5ppin 24h · now 20¢

Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?

Business · resolves May 29 · vol $57.65

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 20¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 21.5pp shift. Resolution depends on sec filing — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: SEC filing.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 17.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.