Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 26, 2026?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.4pp shift. Resolution depends on white house — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: White House — https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/).
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 16.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.