The market moved
+0.2ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Ja’Mel Brown win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?
Politics · resolves May 19 · vol $22.67
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.2pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: nato.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 3.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.