The market moved
-0.9ppin 24h · now 93¢
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?
AI · resolves Sep 30 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 93¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.9pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.