The market moved
-0.7ppin 24h · now 1¢
Will President Trump sign 6 pieces of legislation into law in May?
Politics · resolves May 31 · vol $146.16
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.7pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information — https://www.whitehouse.gov/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 16.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.