Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,500 and $7,600 on May 26, 2026?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 54¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 16.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the official opening price for s&p 500 (spx) on tuesday, may 26, 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the official opening price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Tuesday, May 26, 2026 — https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history.
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 21.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.