The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 73¢

Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by September 30?

Other · resolves Sep 30 · vol $2.4K

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 73¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on us government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: US Government.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.