The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 66¢
Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Coast Guard event?
Politics · resolves May 20 · vol $935.62
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 66¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on 9news.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: 9news.com — https://www.9news.com/article/news/politics/national-politics/president-trump-keynote-coast-guard-academy-graduation/507-8b10f608-7ffa-402b-a3ec-6b13bae6d179).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 9.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.