The market moved

-1.8ppin 24h · now

Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $430-$435 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?

Business · resolves May 22 · vol $61.02

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 9¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.8pp shift. Resolution depends on to the official closing price for tesla (tsla) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally friday) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) — https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 20.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.