Will Ulta Q1 comparable sales growth be below 4%?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 7¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 37.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to ulta's announced comparable sales growth for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company ea — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to Ulta's announced comparable sales growth for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company ea.
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.