The market moved

-0.1ppin 24h · now

Will Vinson Watkins be the Republican nominee for GA-08?

Politics · resolves May 19 · vol $19.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on to the candidate who wins the nomination for the republican party to contest the ga-08 congressional district seat in th — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-08 congressional district seat in th — https://rnc.org/.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 3.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-0.1pp · Will Vinson Watkins be the Republican nominee for GA-08? | Orrery