Orrery Resolution Risk

Source quality now matters more than price.

Resolving soon

Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.

Market

Will Paloma Valencia win between 25% and 30% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?

Resolves in 13h.

Probability

4¢

24h volume

$298.70

Source path

to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: May 31, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
  • 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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