Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will Paloma Valencia win less than 10% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?
Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.
Probability
26¢
24h volume
$13.11
Source path
to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: May 31, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.