Orrery Resolution Risk
Price is not settlement.
A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.
Market
Will Paloma Valencia win more than 35% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?
YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.
Probability
2¢
24h volume
$0.00
Source path
to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: May 31, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
- 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.