Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue MARKET PULSE
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona DiamondbacksHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
23% 24.0pp
24h volume
$1.1M
Orrery Pulse100% current51-100% 7D range+49.0pp net move
100%83%67%50%33%
100%
May 20100%+49.0pp from start
May 20May 20May 20May 20May 20May 20May 20May 20
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Trump kiss by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?UMA PENDING
High
High
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay RaysUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?UMA PENDING
High
High
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5UMA PENDING
High
Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex MichelsenUMA PENDING
High
High
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia PhilliesUMA PENDING
High
High
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota TwinsUMA PENDING
High
High
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5UMA PENDING
High
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 95/91 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 89 | 95/90 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 95/84 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 95/82 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 95/78 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 20, 2026
Read full brief - Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? probability down 28.0pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Iran closes its airspace by May 21? resolves in 3h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
- —
WATCHLIST DELTA
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