Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
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Today
5 things to verify
4 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Resolves in 61h — verify the source
Verify
2US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Resolves in 61h — verify the source
Verify
3US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Resolves in 61h — verify the source
Verify
4LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Resolves in 6h — verify the source
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5Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wu
Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
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MARKET PULSE
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Emma NavarroHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
81% 28.0pp
24h volume
$256.0K
Orrery Pulse50% current50-50% 7D range+0.0pp net move
59%54%50%46%42%
50%
May 2850%+0.0pp from start
May 27May 27May 27May 27May 27May 28May 28May 28
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open 2Open 3Open 4Open
Roland Garros ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Jaime FariaTop read
24h Δ -19.0pp, 1h Δ -30.5pp · Turnover 5.9× liquidity
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Emma Navarro
24h Δ 28.0pp, 1h Δ 16.0pp · Turnover 3.8× liquidity
Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Learner Tien
24h Δ -9.0pp, 1h Δ -8.0pp · Turnover 4.6× liquidity
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
24h Δ 12.0pp · 1h Δ -1.4pp
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?UMA DISPUTED
High
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Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 95/80 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 95/78 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 84 | 91/79 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 69 | 54/81 74/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 28, 2026
Read full brief - Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Emma Navarro probability up 28.0pp on $0.3M of 24h volume.
- Roland Garros ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Jaime Faria shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28? resolves in 5h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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