High
Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
4 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
UMA disputed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
2Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Resolves in 6h — verify the source
Verify
3LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
Resolves in 3h — verify the source
Verify
4Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5
Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
Verify
5Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce
Momentum observation
Momentum
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin LandaluceTop read
24h Δ -38.0pp, 1h Δ -59.0pp · Turnover 27.2× liquidity
2Open
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapova
24h Δ -16.5pp, 1h Δ -16.5pp · Turnover 6.9× liquidity
3Open
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilo
24h Δ 9.0pp, 1h Δ 11.0pp · Turnover 14.7× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
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Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)EXPIRED
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 95/82 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 84 | 91/80 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 82 | 95/81 60/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 81 | 81/83 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 30, 2026
Read full brief - Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce probability down 38.0pp on $2.4M of 24h volume.
- Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- World Championships: Canada vs. Finland resolves in 0h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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