High
Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner
Resolves in 4h — verify the source
Verify
2US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Resolves in 13h — verify the source
Verify
3US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Resolves in 13h — verify the source
Verify
4LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Resolves in 5h — verify the source
Verify
5US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Resolves in 13h — verify the source
Verify
MARKET PULSE
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi OsakaHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
22% 26.5pp
24h volume
$925.7K
Orrery Pulse19% current14-36% 7D range-17.0pp net move
39%32%25%17%10%
19%
May 3019%-17.0pp from start
May 28May 29May 29May 29May 29May 29May 30May 30
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary SvajdaTop read
24h Δ -49.0pp, 1h Δ -48.0pp · Turnover 35.3× liquidity
2Open
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
24h Δ -12.0pp, 1h Δ -1.0pp · Turnover 12.7× liquidity
3Open
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi Osaka
24h Δ -26.5pp, 1h Δ -25.5pp · Turnover 11.3× liquidity
4Open
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
24h Δ -6.5pp, 1h Δ -3.5pp · Turnover 5.8× liquidity
5Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
24h Δ -6.0pp, 1h Δ -1.0pp · Turnover 3.2× liquidity
6Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
24h Δ -9.0pp, 1h Δ -1.0pp · Turnover 0.9× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 95/83 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 95/79 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 83 | 81/91 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 83 | 95/82 60/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 82 | 77/92 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 30, 2026
Read full brief - Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda probability down 49.0pp on $2.0M of 24h volume.
- Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner resolves in 4h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
- —
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