Resolves in 7h — verify the source
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Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
5 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue Verify the resolution source and event-cluster siblings
Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
Verify
Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
Verify
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Trump kiss by May 31?UMA PENDING
High
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)UMA PENDING
High
High
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5UMA PENDING
High
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado RockiesUMA PENDING
High
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)UMA PENDING
High
High
High
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)UMA PENDING
High
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis CardinalsUMA PENDING
High
São Paulo FC vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 2.5UMA PENDING
High
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York YankeesUMA PENDING
High
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-19?UMA PENDING
High
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago CubsUMA PENDING
High
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19?UMA PENDING
High
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-19?UMA PENDING
High
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego PadresPAST EVENT
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Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle MarinersPAST EVENT
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Athletics vs. Los Angeles AngelsPAST EVENT
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Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?PINNED NO
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 95/81 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 84 | 88/83 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 83 | 74/89 96/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 81 | 80/85 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 79 | 68/94 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 20, 2026
Read full brief - Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? probability up 32.0pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31? shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Liquid (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group B resolves in 7h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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WATCHLIST DELTA
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