Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
1 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
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MARKET PULSE
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?MIXED EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest divergence observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
32% 2.0pp
24h volume
$285.9K
Orrery Pulse65% current36-66% 7D range+25.0pp net move
71%61%51%40%30%
65%
May 2265%+25.0pp from start
May 20May 21May 21May 21May 21May 21May 21May 22
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
Trump kiss by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami MarlinsUMA PENDING
High
High
Athletics vs. Los Angeles AngelsPAST EVENT
—
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York YankeesPAST EVENT
—
—
Cavaliers vs. KnicksPAST EVENT
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—
Canadiens vs. HurricanesPAST EVENT
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Spread: Knicks (-5.5)PAST EVENT
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Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5PAST EVENT
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Spread: Knicks (-6.5)PAST EVENT
—
—
—
—
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?PINNED NO
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 61/82 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 22, 2026
Read full brief - Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? probability up 4.0pp on $0.7M of 24h volume.
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31? shows a divergence pattern at 61% evidence — verify on the market.
- LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 resolves in 14h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (1)
IGNORE (0)
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