Resolves in 3h — verify the source
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Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue Verify the resolution source and event-cluster siblings
Resolves in 24h — verify the source
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RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Trump kiss by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper RuudUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
High
High
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Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 95/87 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 82 | 81/88 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 81 | 78/89 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 80 | 81/79 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 80 | 90/80 60/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 21, 2026
Read full brief - Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings probability up 30.0pp on $0.6M of 24h volume.
- Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 resolves in 1h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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WATCHLIST DELTA
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