Comparison
Orrery vs Polymarket / Kalshi
Orrery is not trying to out-Polymarket / Kalshi Polymarket / Kalshi. It wins a different job: turning prediction-market movement into source-aware, settlement-aware, agent-readable verification intelligence.
Where Polymarket / Kalshi is strong
The primary venues own liquidity, native market pages, execution, settlement states, and official market data access.
Direct access to liquidity and market pages
Native status, order book, and settlement surfaces
Largest brand recognition for users who only want odds
Developer APIs for raw market and order-book data
Where Orrery differs
Orrery deliberately avoids copy-trading, “AI alpha”, and smart-money claims. The product is built around source quality, derived market state, resolution risk, daily workflow, alerts, and agent-safe JSON.
Orrery does not replace venues; it adds source, freshness, and resolution-risk context around them
Price is not settlement, and venue odds still need wording/source/expiry checks
Same-event cross-venue comparison is allowed only with contract-comparability confidence
Alerts, Brief, and Decision Cards turn venue data into a verification workflow
Recommended Orrery path
research onlyUse Orrery around venue pages when the question is whether a price can be trusted yet.
Questions this comparison answers
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Keyword coverage
competitive queriesOrrery vs Polymarket / KalshiPolymarket / Kalshi alternativeprediction market analytics toolsPolymarket analytics toolsprediction market intelligence platform