World Cup prediction-market hub
A launch-ready public hub for matchday briefs, verification queues, resolution warnings, watchlists, alerts, and shareable market cards. Research only, not trade advice.
Turn every matchday into a verification artifact.
Orrery should not chase picks. It should publish the useful object people want to share: what moved, why it matters, whether the market is settled, and what to verify before reposting a screenshot.
Markets found
42
24h volume
$49.8M
Needs verify
4
Launch wedge
Cross-venue Kalshi content stays preview until realtime heartbeat is green.
Launch calendar
Soft launch
May 27Open the hub to design partners, prediction-market users, and newsletter writers.
Main launch
Jun 2Public X, Reddit, email, and community launch around verification-first market intelligence.
Developer push
Jun 4Show HN and API/MCP examples once the first paid x402 path is confirmed.
Matchday engine
Jun 11-Jul 19Daily brief cards, not-settled cards, match alerts, and public watchlists.
Live World Cup market slice
This is the public proof surface. If no relevant live markets are available upstream, the campaign still shows templates and alerts instead of pretending data exists.
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Probability
0¢
24h move
-0.1pp
Volume
$3.9M
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Probability
0¢
24h move
-0.1pp
Volume
$3.3M
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Probability
0¢
24h move
-0.1pp
Volume
$3.1M
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Probability
0¢
24h move
-0.1pp
Volume
$3.0M
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Probability
0¢
24h move
-0.1pp
Volume
$3.0M
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Probability
0¢
24h move
-0.1pp
Volume
$2.7M
Resolution watch
The strongest Orrery-native sports artifact: a market can look final without being officially settled.
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Treat as effectively priced-out, not settled. The market is still live until expiry.
0¢
Ends Jul 20, 00:00 UTC
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Treat as effectively priced-out, not settled. The market is still live until expiry.
0¢
Ends Jul 20, 00:00 UTC
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Treat as effectively priced-out, not settled. The market is still live until expiry.
0¢
Ends Jul 20, 00:00 UTC
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Treat as effectively priced-out, not settled. The market is still live until expiry.
0¢
Ends Jul 20, 00:00 UTC
Share artifacts
The growth loop is not a referral coupon. It is useful market intelligence that people naturally repost.
Market card
One market, current probability, 24h move, volume, and a single verification next step.
Research only - not trade advice
Not Settled card
A 99c price is not an official resolution. Show status, source, and what is still pending.
Research only - not trade advice
Matchday brief card
Three markets to verify, three risks to watch, and one link back into Orrery.
Research only - not trade advice
Posting operating system
Morning
Publish Matchday Brief: today's matches, biggest moves, verify list, and resolution watch.
Pre-match
Post market cards only when movement, liquidity, and source context are clear.
Post-match
Publish Not Settled cards for pinned or expired markets until upstream confirms resolution.
Rules of engagement
- Never say picks, bets, best trades, alpha, or copy wallets.
- Always separate probability movement from settlement state.
- Always include: research only, not trade advice.
- Keep Kalshi and cross-venue cards preview until realtime is green.