World Cup market movement, verified before you share it.
A strict FIFA World Cup surface for market movement, resolution warnings, watchlists, and matchday alerts. Research only, not trade advice.
Strict World Cup markets
39 tracked
Football/FIFA World Cup markets only. Generic search spillover and esports World Cup rows are excluded before display.
Live research slice
No material moves
Top movers require at least 1.5pp of 24h movement; flat longshots stay in volume/watchlist sections.
Resolution watch
10 checks
Pinned, expired, source-sensitive, and near-expiry markets stay out of the hype lane.
Get the World Cup Matchday Brief
A daily verification queue for what moved, what needs a source check, and what may look settled before it is resolved.
Top movers
Probability moves worth verifying before they become screenshots.
Favorites
Outright team markets, ranked by price and market activity.
Matchday
Today’s markets, source checks, and pre/post-match handoff.
Watchlists
Opening match, favorites, host nations, liquidity, and resolution queues.
Resolution watch
Pinned, expired, source-sensitive, or not-officially-settled rows.
Track World Cup markets without confusing price with settlement.
Orrery shows what moved, why it matters, whether a market is officially settled, and what to verify before you rely on a market screenshot.
Markets found
39
24h volume
$89.3M
Needs verify
4
Matchday toolkit
Cross-venue Kalshi content stays preview until realtime heartbeat is green.
Matchday workflow
Before kickoff
Pre-matchReview probability moves, liquidity, spread, and contract wording before treating a market as meaningful.
During matchday
LiveWatch for sharp moves, thin-liquidity noise, lineup/news changes, and markets that are close to expiry.
After final whistle
Post-matchSeparate price from official settlement. A market near 99c can still be source-pending or unresolved.
Next morning
Jun 11-Jul 19Use the Daily Brief to see what moved, what needs verification, and which markets became risky.
Top World Cup movers
Strict World Cup markets ranked for movement and verification context. Generic scanner spillover is intentionally excluded.
No material World Cup movers right now
The current strict World Cup slice is quiet above the 1.5pp threshold. Pinned near-NO/YES and high-volume longshot rows are still tracked below, but they are not labeled as movers.
Favorites and high-volume team markets
Outright World Cup rows are useful when they are clearly separated from matchday resolution risk and longshot noise.
01 · World Cup
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
<1¢
02 · World Cup
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
<1¢
03 · World Cup
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
<1¢
04 · World Cup
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
<1¢
05 · World Cup
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
<1¢
06 · World Cup
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
<1¢
Resolution watch
The strongest Orrery-native sports artifact: a market can look final without being officially settled.
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Treat as effectively priced-out, not settled. The market is still live until expiry.
<1¢
Ends Jul 20, 00:00 UTC
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Treat as effectively priced-out, not settled. The market is still live until expiry.
<1¢
Ends Jul 20, 00:00 UTC
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Treat as effectively priced-out, not settled. The market is still live until expiry.
<1¢
Ends Jul 20, 00:00 UTC
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Treat as effectively priced-out, not settled. The market is still live until expiry.
<1¢
Ends Jul 20, 00:00 UTC
Share artifacts
Share useful market context: movement, resolution state, and the next verification step. Never trading advice.
Market card
One market, current probability, 24h move, volume, and a single verification next step.
Research only - not trade advice
Not Settled card
A 99c price is not an official resolution. Show status, source, and what is still pending.
Research only - not trade advice
Matchday brief card
Three markets to verify, three risks to watch, and one link back into Orrery.
Research only - not trade advice
How to use this hub
Morning
Read the Matchday Brief for today's markets, biggest moves, verification list, and resolution watch.
Pre-match
Open the scanner slice before kickoff to check movement, volume, liquidity, and contract wording.
Post-match
Check Not Settled cards before treating 1c or 99c prices as official outcomes.
Research guardrails
- Orrery shows market context and verification steps; it does not provide picks or trade recommendations.
- Probability movement and official settlement are separate states.
- Check expiry, source, and dispute path before sharing a market screenshot.
- Kalshi cross-venue cards remain preview until realtime streaming is green.