Event

Elon Musk # tweets May 2 - May 4, 2026?

10 markets in this event family · $301.9K 24h volume · $135.7K liquidity. Share the URL anywhere — the rich preview card shows the cluster's biggest mover with one glance.

CultureMay 4, 2026advancing 1 · declining 7
24h volume

$304.4K

10 markets · liq $137.4K

Avg volatility

6.4pp

Mean |24h move|

Top movers

3

Markets ≥5pp 24h

Whale flow

$0.00

0 trades ≥$5k

Source-risk

0

Active UMA dispute / pending

Resolving <24h

0

Settlement positioning risk

Top mover · 24h

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
44¢+32.0pp 24hVol $81.2K · Liq $10.8K

All markets in this cluster

10

About this event

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 2 12:00 PM ET to May 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.