Event

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?

7 markets in this event family · $483.3K 24h volume · $28.0K liquidity. Share the URL anywhere — the rich preview card shows the cluster's biggest mover with one glance.

rewards 200, 4.5, 20May 3, 2026advancing 6 · declining 1
24h volume

$483.5K

7 markets · liq $29.7K

Avg volatility

8.1pp

Mean |24h move|

Top movers

2

Markets ≥5pp 24h

Whale flow

$0.00

0 trades ≥$5k

Source-risk

0

Active UMA dispute / pending

Resolving <24h

0

Settlement positioning risk

Top mover · 24h

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
97¢+26.7pp 24hVol $133.3K · Liq $7.9K

About this event

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 27, 2026, through May 3, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.