U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
3 markets in this event family · $482.2K 24h volume · $333.2K liquidity. Share the URL anywhere — the rich preview card shows the cluster's biggest mover with one glance.
$482.2K
3 markets · liq $333.4K
46.6pp
Mean |24h move|
2
Markets ≥5pp 24h
$0.00
0 trades ≥$5k
1
Active UMA dispute / pending
0
Settlement positioning risk
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Top mover · 24h
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?All markets in this cluster
3Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Vol $447.0K · Liq $333.4K
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?
Vol $35.3K · Liq $0.00
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by March 31, 2026?
Vol $0.00 · Liq $0.00
| Market | Prob | Δ24h | Vol | Liq |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026? | 100¢ | +90.8 | $447.0K | $333.4K |
| Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026? | 100¢ | +48.9 | $35.3K | $0.00 |
| Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by March 31, 2026? | 0¢ | 0.0 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
About this event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.