Set 1 Winner: Bennani vs Santos
Probability
65¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
+15.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$442.86
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 12, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (7.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 15pp over 24h
Now 65¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 7.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 12, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (7.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 164.1h
- 12:53SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
Price movement
+15.0pp over the last 24h, now 65¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
14- 72¢+7.5
Brazzaville: Reda Bennani vs Paulo Dos Santos
Other · Vol $129.31
- 37¢+12.0
Reda Bennani vs. Paulo Dos Santos: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 72¢+21.5
Bennani vs. Santos: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢+1.0
Bennani vs. Santos: Match O/U 21.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0
Bennani vs. Santos: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 44¢-6.5
Bennani vs. Santos: Match O/U 22.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 25¢-25.5
Bennani vs. Santos: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
Other · Vol $10.00
- 50¢0.0
Bennani vs. Santos: Match O/U 23.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢0.0
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Tomas Barrios
Other · Vol $324.5K
- 43¢0.0
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Bondar vs Qinwen Zheng
Other · Vol $309.2K
- 32¢0.0
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sofia Kenin vs Bianca Andreescu
Other · Vol $247.5K
- 100¢0.0
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Nikola Bartunkova
Other · Vol $244.0K
- 0¢0.0
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Yue Yuan vs Simona Waltert
Other · Vol $232.8K
- 100¢0.0
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Francisco Comesana vs Leandro Riedi
Other · Vol $225.6K
Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Reda Bennani and Paulo Dos Santos in the Brazzaville, originally scheduled for May 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Bennani” if Reda Bennani wins the first set. It will resolve to “Santos” if Paulo Dos Santos wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.