SportsExpires May 9, 2026
Creator

Chiba Jets vs. Altiri Chiba

Probability

100¢

1h

+0.9pp

24h

+24.4pp

24h Vol

$603.09

Liquidity

$32.4K

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 9, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
based on the final score including any overtime periods
Type
Ambiguous wording
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 25, 2026, 08:00May 2, 2026, 07:36
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 24pp over 24h

    Now 100¢; +0.9pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved up 24.4pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 165.5h

    LOW
  • 07:36Signal

    Momentum up

    Probability moved up 24.4pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH
  • 07:36Signal

    Resolution risk

    UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

    LOW

Price movement

+24.4pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.

Biggest hourly move: +50.4pp at 07:00 (to 100¢).

Show top 8 of 37 hourly moves
  • 07:00 · +50.4pp → 100¢
  • 05:00 · +39.5pp → 89¢
  • 04:00 · +39.5pp → 89¢
  • 02:00 · +39.5pp → 89¢
  • 01:00 · +40.0pp → 90¢
  • 23:00 · +40.5pp → 90¢
  • 21:00 · +40.5pp → 90¢
  • 18:00 · +41.0pp → 90¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Japan B League game, scheduled for May 2 at 1:05AM ET: If the Chiba Jets win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Jets". If the Altiri Chiba win, the market will resolve to "Altiri Chiba". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.