SportsExpires Apr 30, 2026

Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs TDK - Map 1 Winner

Probability

56¢

1h

-1.0pp

24h

+1.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$1.3K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
hltv.org
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
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Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 27, 2026, 16:00Apr 30, 2026, 07:53
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 2pp over 24h

    Now 56¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 11h.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $1.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 04
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 11h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 11 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 19:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 11.1h

    HIGH
  • 07:53Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 11h.

    LOW

Price movement

+1.5pp over the last 24h, now 56¢.

Biggest hourly move: +7.0pp at 04:00 (to 57¢).

Show 4 hourly moves
  • 07:00 · +6.0pp → 57¢
  • 06:00 · +5.5pp → 57¢
  • 05:00 · +4.5pp → 57¢
  • 04:00 · +7.0pp → 57¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventCounter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs TDK (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between 100 Thieves and TDK in the Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 30 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win Map 1 against TDK. This market will resolve to "TDK" if TDK win Map 1 against 100 Thieves. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.

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