Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Probability
0¢
1h
-9.4pp
24h
-16.0pp
24h Vol
$107.72
Liquidity
$224.2K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 16pp over 24h
Now 0¢; -9.4pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved down 16.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 03Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 0h. UMA dispute is active.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 0 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 16:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 0.2h
- 15:45SignalHIGH
Momentum down
Probability moved down 16.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 15:45SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 0h. UMA dispute is active.
Price movement
-16.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Biggest hourly move: +37.0pp at 13:00 (to 52¢).
Show top 8 of 23 hourly moves
- 13:00 · +37.0pp → 52¢
- 1d ago · -34.0pp → 16¢
- 1d ago · -34.0pp → 16¢
- 1d ago · -34.0pp → 16¢
- 1d ago · -35.5pp → 14¢
- 1d ago · -35.5pp → 14¢
- 1d ago · -35.5pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · -35.5pp → 14¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market is about whether both teams kill Roshan at least once during Game 1. Roshan is a powerful neutral boss in Dota 2 that spawns at the start of the game and respawns 8–11 minutes after each death, dropping the Aegis of the Immortal and other valuable items. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both L1ga Team and REKONIX each kill Roshan at least once during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not kill Roshan during Game 1. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had killed Roshan prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Alerts
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