SportsExpires Apr 29, 2026

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?

Probability

90¢

1h

+40.0pp

24h

+40.0pp

24h Vol

$13.4K

Liquidity

$885.90

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 26, 2026, 21:00Apr 29, 2026, 12:01
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 40pp over 24h

    Now 90¢; +40.0pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Heavy volume on this book — 15.1× turnover

    $13.4k traded against $886 of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 3h. UMA disputed and spread is extremely wide.

  • 04
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 20.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 05
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 3h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 3 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 15:10Resolve

    Market resolves in 3.1h

    HIGH
  • 12:01Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 3h. UMA disputed and spread is extremely wide.

    HIGH

Price movement

+40.0pp over the last 24h, now 90¢.

Biggest hourly move: +40.0pp at 12:00 (to 90¢).

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 29 at 5:00AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 2. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 2 is 28 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 29, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 29, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (20.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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