SportsExpires May 3, 2026
Creator

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Probability

1¢

1h

-49.5pp

24h

-67.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$791.01

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
gol.gg
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

-50.0pp 7d
Apr 26, 2026, 12:00May 3, 2026, 11:35
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 67pp over 24h

    Now 1¢; -49.5pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 2h.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $791 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 14:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 2.4h

    HIGH
  • 11:35Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 2h.

    LOW

Price movement

-67.0pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.

Biggest hourly move: +18.0pp at 1d ago (to 68¢).

Show top 8 of 42 hourly moves
  • 21:00 · +18.0pp → 68¢
  • 19:00 · +18.0pp → 68¢
  • 18:00 · +18.0pp → 68¢
  • 17:00 · +18.0pp → 68¢
  • 15:00 · +18.0pp → 68¢
  • 13:00 · +18.0pp → 68¢
  • 12:00 · +18.0pp → 68¢
  • 1d ago · +18.0pp → 68¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 3. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both ThunderTalk Gaming and LNG Esports each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 3. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.

Open on Polymarket