Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Probability
52¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$3.1K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 9, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 01Spread cost
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 9, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 182.8h
Price movement
-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 52¢.
Biggest hourly move: -6.0pp at 1d ago (to 44¢).
Show top 8 of 14 hourly moves
- 08:29 · +3.5pp → 52¢
- 07:00 · +3.5pp → 52¢
- 00:00 · +4.0pp → 52¢
- 19:00 · -5.0pp → 43¢
- 1d ago · -6.0pp → 44¢
- 3d ago · -4.0pp → 48¢
- 3d ago · -4.0pp → 48¢
- 3d ago · -4.0pp → 48¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
10- 3¢+1.5
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $595.6K
- 80¢+3.0
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Sports · Vol $574.7K
- 52¢-1.0
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
Sports · Vol $497.8K
- 1¢0.0
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $491.6K
- 1¢0.0
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $444.5K
- 100¢+80.0
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Sports · Vol $439.1K
Market Description
In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for May 2 at 7:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the Los Angeles Dodgers or St. Louis Cardinals. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.