SportsMulti-outcomeExpires May 8, 2026
Creator

Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $70-$80 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?

Probability

2¢

1h

-0.1pp

24h

-5.1pp

24h Vol

$1.91

Liquidity

$7.0K

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 8, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday)
Link
finance.yahoo.com
Type
Ambiguous wording
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
May 1, 2026, 23:00May 4, 2026, 18:59
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 5pp over 24h

    Now 2¢; -0.1pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Resolution source is ambiguous or relies on public-figure statements — verify before treating price as the market view.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $7.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 97.0h

    LOW
  • 19:00Signal

    Resolution risk

    Resolution source is ambiguous or relies on public-figure statements — verify before treating price as the market view.

    LOW

Price movement

-5.1pp over the last 24h, now 2¢.

Biggest hourly move: -43.5pp at 11:00 (to 3¢).

Show 6 hourly moves
  • 18:00 · -20.6pp → 2¢
  • 17:00 · -31.1pp → 2¢
  • 15:00 · -42.5pp → 3¢
  • 13:00 · -42.0pp → 3¢
  • 12:00 · -43.0pp → 3¢
  • 11:00 · -43.5pp → 3¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventNetflix (NFLX) closes week of May 4 at ___?
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

4 wallets
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