Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
+2.1pp
24h Vol
$154.1K
Liquidity
$81.3K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- PrimaryPyth futures price feedLinkTypeCommodity price feed / futures dataConfidenceextracted · high
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 100¢; +0.1pp in the last hour.
- 02Volume pressure
Heavy volume on this book — 1.9× turnover
$154.1k traded against $81.3k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- PrimaryPyth futures price feedLinkTypeCommodity price feed / futures dataConfidenceextracted · high
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 743.7h
Price movement
+2.1pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Biggest hourly move: +48.8pp at 01:00 (to 100¢).
Show top 8 of 56 hourly moves
- 01:00 · +48.8pp → 100¢
- 3d ago · +28.5pp → 87¢
- 3d ago · +28.5pp → 87¢
- 3d ago · +27.0pp → 85¢
- 3d ago · +26.0pp → 84¢
- 3d ago · +27.5pp → 86¢
- 3d ago · +32.5pp → 83¢
- 3d ago · +31.5pp → 82¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
14- 9¢-1.0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
Macro · Vol $244.7K
- 15¢-1.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Macro · Vol $68.1K
- 28¢-1.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Macro · Vol $64.4K
- 54¢+5.0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Macro · Vol $121.8K
- 83¢-1.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Macro · Vol $77.7K
- 28¢-2.0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Macro · Vol $28.4K
- 8¢-2.0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
Macro · Vol $55.9K
- 2¢+1.7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?
Macro · Vol $2.2K
- 0¢0.0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Macro · Vol $800.1K
- 100¢+1.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?
Macro · Vol $368.5K
- 0¢-0.2
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Macro · Vol $343.2K
- 9¢-1.0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
Macro · Vol $254.2K
- 3¢+0.8
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Macro · Vol $207.2K
- 1¢0.0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Macro · Vol $151.3K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
20 wallets- Hideous-Racer24.0K
- Good-Natured-Cell20.0K
- Villainous-Icon12.1K
- Speedy-Innervation11.3K
- Untidy-Gain6.0K