The market moved

-3.1ppin 24h · now

Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?

Sports · resolves May 31 · vol $559.60

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.1pp shift. Resolution depends on to the listed player who wins the 2026 charles schwab challenge tournament — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the listed player who wins the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge tournament — https://www.pgatour.com/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.