The market moved
+4.5ppin 24h · now 96¢
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on June 2?
Business · resolves Jun 2 · vol $38.17
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 96¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on split-adjusted prices as displayed on yahoo finance — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance — https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 2.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.