The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 80¢

Tiafoe vs. Arnaldi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Sports · resolves Jun 8 · vol $946.61

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 80¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Directional flow is consistent with new information being priced in; the underlying source isn't tagged in the market metadata.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source on Polymarket — the market description names where settlement comes from.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.