The market moved
+22.8ppin 24h · now 24¢
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Republic of Ireland?
Other · resolves Jun 5 · vol $142.71
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 24¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 22.8pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.