The market moved
-3.8ppin 24h · now 1¢
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Germany?
Other · resolves Jun 6 · vol $664.60
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.8pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.