The market moved
-4.5ppin 24h · now 1¢
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on June 2?
Business · resolves Jun 2 · vol $68.98
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on split-adjusted prices as displayed on yahoo finance — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance — https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/history.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 2.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.