The market moved
-11.5ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 5?
Weather · resolves Jun 5 · vol $1.8K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 11.5pp shift. Resolution depends on weather.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: weather.gov — https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.